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Climate Prediction Center (CPC) 8 to 14 Day Probabilistic Precipitation Outlook for the Contiguous United States and Alaska

Summary

Type of release
ongoing release of a series of related datasets

Data Licence
Not Applicable

Content Licence
Creative Commons CCZero

Verification
automatically awarded

Release Date
26 September 2015
Modified Date
26 September 2015
Update Frequency
daily
Publishers
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Department of Commerce
Identifier
climate-prediction-center-cpc-8-to-14-day-probabilistic-precipitation-outlook-for-the-contiguou
Landing Page
http://catalog.data.gov/dataset/climate-prediction-center-cpc-8-to-14-day-probabilistic-precipitation-outlook-for-the-contiguou
Temporal Coverage
1 September 2001 — 25 August 2014

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Description

The Climate Prediction Center (CPC) issues 8 to 14 day probabilistic precipitation outlooks for the United States. The 8-14 day Outlook gives the confidence that a forecaster has, given as a probability, that the observed precipitation, totaled over upcoming days 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, and 14 will be in the range of one of three possible categories: below median (B), near median (N), or above median (A). For any calendar 7-day period, these categories can be defined by fitting a Gamma distribution to the 30 years of the climatology period, 1981-2010, and dividing this distribution into equally likely partitions (below median, near median, and above median). Note that the base period for the thirty year climatology (currently beginning in 1981 and ending in 2010) is updated once per decade. Because each of these categories occurs 1/3 of the time for any particular calendar 7-day period, the probability of any category being selected at random from the 1981-2010 set of 30 observations is one in three (1/3), or 33.33%. This is also called the climatological probability. The sum of the climatological probabilities of the three categories is 100%.


General Information


Legal Information

This dataset has been created by US Government which means it is required to be in the public domain. However US copyright law only allows open access by US citizens, we have assumed the data is equivalently licensed as CC0 for the rest of the world as this is in the spirit of the US Government’s Open Data policy.
  • The rights statement is at

    http://catalog.data.gov/dataset/climate-prediction-center-cpc-8-to-14-day-probabilistic-precipitation-outlook-for-the-contiguou Do you think this data is incorrect? Let us know

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  • There are

    yes, and the rights are all held by the same person or organisation Do you think this data is incorrect? Let us know

  • The content is available under

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  • This data contains

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  • The data appears in this collection

    http://catalog.data.gov/organization/noaa-gov Do you think this data is incorrect? Let us know

  • This data changes

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  • Find out how to contact someone about this data at

    http://catalog.data.gov/dataset/climate-prediction-center-cpc-8-to-14-day-probabilistic-precipitation-outlook-for-the-contiguou Do you think this data is incorrect? Let us know

  • Find out how to suggest improvements to publication at

    http://www.data.gov/issue/?media_url=http://catalog.data.gov/dataset/climate-prediction-center-cpc-8-to-14-day-probabilistic-precipitation-outlook-for-the-contiguou Do you think this data is incorrect? Let us know